James Governor points to Jaime Cardoso, who's taking Gartner to task for some, shall we say, questionable predictions. I especially like this prediction from them:

"Linux and Windows will be the only two operating systems left in five years."

The problem with that statement isn't just Unix - it's the current problems MS is having (see my last post), combined with Apple's move to intel. I don't foresee Apple becoming a huge player here, but they could easily pull a Firefox - i.e., start whittling their way up to a more significant percentage.

Not every OS vendor is as stupid as Sun - which is what I think the Gartner guys are assuming. Jobs may be a lot of things, but stupid isn't amongst them.