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by James Robertson.
Original Post: Questioning analysis
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And are analysts completely on the level? There are those analysts who get paid to make a point. Companies pay analysts to make a point in their favor. Not coming to that conclusion means they will no longer be of value. Now, of course, coming to that point may be the 100% correct, and then the competition debunks it with their own analysis from another company (analyst shopping) who makes a 100% accurate counter point (ah, the chaos of statistics). I associate a .5 probability with this point so i have plausible deniability. How did I come up with .5? SWAG, man, SWAG. But at least I disclosed how I came about it.